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Search Results 0 to 49 of about 141 (some duplicates have been removed)
, swing states and ohio, romney colorado. give obama ohio and new hampshire. i think the point i want to make about this map is a broader one and it's a criticism and an expression of bafflement about the romney campaign strategy. if you look at that map, to win to get to 270, they have to win virginia, florida, north carolina. got to win colorado. putting that together, pick off ohio or some combination of wisconsin and plus new hampshire, iowa, nevada. a combination there and the polls out of ohio and wisconsin, not looking good for romney. to me the issue is this. there are states on the map that could have been competitive. oregon, michigan, minnesota, pennsylvania and even maybe where obama had big margins in 2008 like 15, 16-point margins but you have to go back to 2004 to see, you know, a three-point race in minnesota. a three-point race in michigan. these are states, there's a lot of flexibility in these states. if romney with all the money he had and republicans had, outside money, if they had targeted the states early with advertising and then with field work, too, i think i
they need to double down. because barack obama if he wins ohio, he could lose virginia and florida and still win. >> they have been doubling down. they spent all of this time in ohio and because of sandy spent more time in ohio. but if we look at early voting polling that is coming out of ohio and then florida, the president leads. is it the obama ground game that's really pushing them ahead? >> it's the obama ground game. ironically it's also the republican party. when i was in ohio and talked to voters there and called people in florida who were doing early vote there, a lot of what's motivating really record african-american early vote turnout in north carolina, in florida and in ohio is anger about the tone of the republican party on things like voting rights, on things like voter i.d., on what they see as voter suppression. so they're equal part defense of president obama and anger at the republican party. it's driving what looks to be potentially record early african-american vote which only helps the president. >> and lastly the president leading with overwhelming support when voters
, the ohio public polls show that, yes, president obama is leading. he lost a little bit of ground, but he's made that back up again. one thing i would point out, chris, is that the obama campaign is seeing very different internal polling than the republicomney campaign is s is. republicans told me earlier this week that last week, their polls showed mitt romney up four to five points in ohio. by monday, mitt romney was leading president obama in these ohio republican internal polls by just one point. they've seen his numbers go down. the obama campaign tells me that he's consistently led two to four points in their internal polling. you might say it's spin, but these two campaigns are seeing very different data. >> do you trust these people that are giving you these numbers? are they just giving you numbers, or do you really believe them? which of these people are the most credible when it comes to numbers when you match them up against other evidence? >> one of the things that the romney campaign was suggesting, just about an hour ago on a conference call that they had, the romney pollst
contributor. erin, give me a sense, is ohio pretty much obama territory now? >> we think that it is. and all of the national -- or excuse me, the ohio public polls show that, yes, president obama is leading. he lost a little bit of ground, but he's made that back up again. but one thing i would point out, chris, is that the obama campaign is seeing very different internal polling than the romney campaign is seeing and republicans told me earlier this week that last week their polls showed mitt romney up four to five points in ohio. by monday, mitt romney was leading president obama in these ohio republican internal polls by just one point. so they've seen his numbers go down. the obama campaign tells me that he's consistently led two to four points in their internal polling. so you might say that it's spin, but these two campaigns are seeing very different data and that's why they're arguing these cases that they are. >> do you trust these people that are giving you these numbers? i mean, are they just giving you numbers, or do you really believe them? which of these people are the most cred
, why the headline reads ohio's working class offer the key to obama's re-election. well, they're specifically talking about working white class middle class voters. you can tweet us. lendars. it's the last day you can switch your medicare part d plan. we're ready, and we can't wait to switch. what i wanted was simple: the most value for my dollar. so, now that it's time, we're making the move to a plan that really works for us. [ male announcer ] make the switch to an aarp medicarerx plan, insured through unitedhealthcare. open enrollment starts october 15th and ends december 7th. call now for a free information kit. you'll receive a summary of plan benefits and an enrollment form. discover why these part d plans are so popular with over 4 million plan members and counting. with predictable copays and plans with no annual deductible, you could start saving with your first prescription. plus, we'll be covered at like 60,000 pharmacies. so if we visit our kids in portland or go anywhere in the country, we know we're covered. [ male announcer ] the new preferred pharmacy network
clear politics" average of the most recent polling in the state of ohio shows president obama ahead in ohio by 2.3 points. these "real clear politics" averages are an imperfect measure. i want to give you a very rough idea of how basically how close it is right now. that's what it is in ohio. in virginia, that same polling average has mitt romney ahead by 0.5 points, and in north carolina, the polling average has mr. romney ahead by 3.8 points. so that's the 7:00 hour. and then in the 8:00 hour, polls will be closing in these 18 states. of these states, again, there will be three that we're going to be watching most closely. florida, pennsylvania, and new hampshire. the "real clear politics" polling average right now in florida has romney ahead. in pennsylvania the polling average says it is president obama who's ahead by 4.6 points. in new hampshire, again, president obama ahead with a 1.3 lead. that's the 8:00 hour. at 9:00, we'll have polls closed in all those places, and the blinking states here will be the ones that are closing. 14 states mostly in the midwest and the south. of
poll shows a significant jenter gab gap in ohio. more men for romney and more women for obama. two focus groups this weekend in ohio, one with men and one with women. >> who is undecided? why does mitt romney lag in ohio? >> i think it's a bunch of hard working people. it's manufacturing. everybody gets up. they go to work. romney, i think they look at him as the boss. obama, you can kind of sit down, talk to the guy one on one. >> i think part of it is, since kasic became governor and implemented his policies and turned things around, obama is getting part of the credit for what's happening in ohio. ohio is only at 7% unemployment. what he's done to sit there and turn the state around is unfortunately giving credit to the president. >> ohio, i think it's the auto industry. i think it's what obama did and when he stood behind the people and the auto workers. >> the unions in ohio is why obama is strong right now. >> show me by hands how many of you voted for him in 2008. how many of you are definitely voting for him in 2012. what the hell happened? >> the promises were not met. >>
'll see president obama campaigning in ohio, wisconsin, iowa a lot these last five days. >> amy, let me bring you in. i know to mark's point, i believe it was one of the romney advisers or a supporter who said i think the word was "crap" when it comes to polls, at least the ones they didn't like to see. nevertheless, you can disagree with the percentage point here or there, but we've not seen a poll where governor romney is leading in a battleground state. >> no, we haven't. but he feels really good about florida. his team does. i don't think it's a double-digit lead, but they're feeling good about florida. they're feeling good about wisconsin. they think the apparatus in place from the efforts on behalf of scott walker are going to galvanize republicans and make sure that a ground game turns out the vote. the same for mitt romney and paul ryan. they are feeling good about a lot of states where they've closed with the president, if they haven't surpassed him. what they're always hoping, too, tamron is that this is 1980 and that there's going to be a last-minute wave for romney. had they
to put up that final campaign calendar, if we can, and have you take a look. obama's in ohio four times in five days he's in wisconsin three times, colorado twice, romney's in virginia, wisconsin, ohio, colorado and new hampshire. what can you read, if anything, into these schedules? who's worried about which states? or who's, you know, ignoring other states? what do you make of it? >> well, you know, i did notice that president obama is only going down to florida one time, i believe. >> right. >> so, you know, that's striking. you know, the polling has, i think, generally been slightly pro-romney. so, you know, i don't get the sense that they really think that florida is the best place to be spending their time. they might be writing it off. you know, i think it's really interesting to see wisconsin be such a frequent destination. i believe that romney had not gone to wisconsin for a couple, few months until he went last week or a few days ago. he's going back again. the emphasis on wisconsin right now is interesting. and i think it speaks to the idea that although romney is definitely
electoral votes. including one scenario giving president obama a path to victory, winning nevada and ohio, to get to 277 electoral votes. for mitt romney the path could also lead through ohio, and blanketing the south, to get to 281 in a different scenario. and there are also several potentials for a tie. this one shows the president losing nevada but winning ohio, to get to 269 for both candidates. and late today, the "newshour" got word that romney will make a last-minute stop in pennsylvania over the weekend. we explore the race and the states in play with jonathan martin of politico and margaret talev of bloomberg news. welcome to you both. so let me start with you, jonathan. the president's back on the trail today. what is the state of this race? how do two campaigns see it? >> both are projecting confidence because that's what you do when you're four days out from election day, judy. but looking at the maps and the polling it's clear that president obama still has a narrow advantage in terms of how you get to 270 electoral votes. two big developments to me have happened in the last
obama. frank luntz held two focus groups in ohio this week. >> who's undecided in a whole bumpk of you. why does mitt romney lag in ohio? >> i think it's a bunch of hard-working people. it's manufacturing. everybody gets up, they go to work. romney, i think they look at him like a boss, goit who's there. obama, i think, well, you can kind of sit down, talk to the guy. you know, one-on-one. >> i think part of it is, you know, since governor turned things around, obama is getting part of the credit for ohio. ohio is only at 7% unemployment. what he's done to turn the state around is, unfortunately, giving credit to the president. >> i think it's the auto industry, what obama did and stood behind the workers in the auto union. >> the unions in ohio is why obama's strong right now. >> show me by hand, how many of you voted for him in 2008? how many of you are definitely voting for him in 2012? what the hell happened? >> the promises weren't met. what we got is not what we thought we were going to get in 2008. >> i'm disappointed because he didn't do what he said he would do. but i'm not su
. florida, 48-47 for obama. ohio, 50-45 for obama. and finally virginia, 49-47 for obama. these three states very, very close. looking at the numbers, what do they tell you? >> reporter: they tell me, brooke, they're fascinating, in particular florida and virginia. these are the big three swing states. that's what we have been going through on the battleground bus tour. florida, virginia, ohio. mitt romney had real momentum coming out first debate. he had gotten a sizable or comfortable narrow, but narrow lead in florida, virginia, that seems to have dissipated where the two polls you mentioned have obama narrowly up and ohio has always been president obama's firewall. no republican has won the white house without winning ohio. that leaves something sizable good for chicago. there is so much noise around the polls now, the focus is on early voting and the ground game. it is no substitute for actual votes. and that's what folks of both campaigns right now. >> john avalon in the battleground bus tour in ohio. thank you. we'll shift the focus back to the aftermath, the special coverage here in
right, let's write it down. new york times, gave hard for the obama team put him up 5 points in ohio and karl rove looked specifically at that poll. overpolling, oversampling of democrats skewing the overall result. that's a fact, not an opinion. >> stuart. i've been hearing about the skewed polls for ages and here is the bottom line, every pollster worth their salt and that's most pollster, are not going to skew numbers, nobody will believe them when the numbers don't prove to be accurate. when you look at the polls the way the people's lives depend on it you're not going to-- your credibility is on the line. stuart: the is new york poll, oversampling. >> and even rasmussen said democratic turnout is going to be higher than republican turnout. >> what the polls said. >> gave it a plus 2. and stuart is asking a fact-based questioning. have you looked at the sampling methodology. >> i have. >> and did you see it could be skewed toward more democrats. >> let me tell thank you, there are certain polls that screw more democrat and some screw republican because the automated and call peop
shows president obama leading in ohio with likely voters 50 to 45. a tighter race in virginia. president obama at 49, mitt romney at 47, which is a statistical tie within the poll's 3% margin of error. and in florida that poll has president obama at 48 and mitt romney at 47. another statistical tie. tonight nate silver of the "new york times'" 538 blog forecasts that on november 6th president obama will win 300 electoral college votes and mitt romney will win 238 and president obama's chance of re-election ticked up tonight in nate silver's calculations to 78.4%. and finally, george w. bush has entered the presidential campaign. he did that today when he was dragged into it by his little brother in florida. >> do you honestly think that this president is capable of bringing people together? his entire strategy is to blame others. starting with my brother, of course. basically, he blames every possible thing, rather than having the humility to be able to reach out and define common ground. >> and the fight over who is the real friend of the auto industry continued today. >> the facts, the
, it shows how much that auto bail out helps president obama with the voters in ohio and iowa. among non college white men in those states is higher than the other states anderson. >> hum, hinting. appreciate that. i spoke about that earlier. what is your biggest priority right now? >> well, getting power back up. i think we have done a good job on search and rescue. there may be elements of that. but the national guard has done a great job. getting lights on. changes people's quality of life and gets business up again and gets kids back into skuxt it is school. >> what was your meeting like with the president? >> great koocoordination with t state and the federal government and the administration. i said to the president we have to think outside of the box. can we use military transport. great, can we transport them in a c-130 can you help the utility companies get the sub station generating that would open up a lot of use. thinking outside of the box and cutting through the bureaucracy. >> do you have an idea of how when power would be restored? >> we have been on with the utility comp
more frayed. >>> four days to go, president obama arrives in ohio overnight and governor romney heads there as well as both camps brace for this morning's all-important jobs report and the impact of sandy looms large over election day. >>> and walk this way. new yorkers in need of a lift are about to get one on our plaza. the countdown has begun for aerosmith's first ever morning show concert today, friday, november 2nd, 2012. >>> from nbc news, this is "today" with matt lauer and savannah guthrie live from studio 1a in rockefeller plaza. >>> and good morning. welcome to "today" on a friday morning. i'm matt lauer. >> good morning, everyone. i'm savannah guthrie. this has been a hard week around here, but it's nice to have something to smile about this morning. aerosmith here on the plaza. >> a confession, i walked outside a second ago as they were rehearsing to see steve tyler behind a microphotograph and joe perry walking up and down the stage. this is just a destruction. the death toll from sandy has risen to more than 90 people. there's a lot of talk about the situation in new yor
's move over to ohio. this is a place where the obama campaign worked very hard on early voting in the african-american communities, especially in the cleveland area. you see cleveland, the cleveland suburbs, and to a lesser degree down here to the south in the akron area, people without power. how did they vote in 2008 and how do they tend to vote in presidential policies? across the top of the state, heavy democratic areas. our producer called out to cuyahoga today. early voting down today than it was four years ago. so you see some obvious immediate impacts. the question is, again, with a few more days to go, five more d days, can they get this fixed come election day? in the northern virginia suburbs, it tells the story. a lot of people out in the northern washington, d.c. area, fairfax county, arlington. you go back four years, you see all that blue. this is the area most critical to president obama. he has to win the state of virginia. again, when you call to these communities, they think they'll get it fixed in time for tuesday. >> john, when you talked to the two campaig
. obama for president. steve brown live from columbus, ohio with the story on why. steve. >> yeah, megyn the united mine workers of america decided to sit this one out, if you will. the two things you need to know about eastern iowa, southeastern iowa is this. one, that it's among the swingeist areas of the state that they split tickets a lot out there and it's up for grabs. two, coal is huge and provides some of the best paying blue collar jobs. it is not unusual for someone working in mining out there to work 60, 70 hours a week with really terrific benefits. and given the overall economic picture out there it provides some of the best employment opportunities outside of retail. >> it's the only job around here. i mean if you're not in the medical field, coal minor, steel millions are shut down. they sent those to china you've got school teach, medical, coal mining: toxins coming out of smokes tax have put a crimp in coal fire electric generating plants. a dozen of those have shut down in the state of ohio. as a consequence so say coal mining operators seven mines in the state have be
, president obama has rallies planned between now and election day in ohio, wisconsin, iowa, virginia, new hampshire, florida and colorado. gloria borger is our chief political analyst. i'm out of breath running through the different states he'll be visiting. what do the maps tell you and things could change. what do you make of the fact romney won't be heading to florida? >> well, on the florida point, i was on the conference call with a few of his top advisers yesterday and they say they feel good about florida and a thing to look at and say, well, if he doesn't go back there and don't forget he was there just yesterday, he was there over the weekend and if he doesn't go back there, that may show a sense of optimism on the side of the romney camp. don't forget, they need florida just like they need ohio if they win this election. but if you look another those two maps generally, brooke, they're almost the same. they're going to the same battleground states because it's a same handful of states so close right now. you know, that they both need to keep visiting and visiting and visiting ag
about ohio and early voting and absentee ballots that were requested. he says back in 2008 barack obama his margin of victory -- start with me on the bottom of this graphic you're seeing. obama's margin of victory in 2008 it was 260,000 votes. i'm rounding. he says already in ohio we've seen a swing towards the republican that has wiped out almost all of obama's margin of victory in the early voting or the number of absentee ballots cast for requested. he says, look the democrats 531,000 votes have already been cast or absentee ballots requested or cast. he says that is down 181,000 from four years ago. republicans, 448,000. they are not doing as well as the democrats, but they are doing better than four years ago. the democrats are doing worse enough in ohio and the republicans are doing better enough in ohio that the republicans have wiped out the margin of victory president obama had there four years ago. your thoughts on that? >> my thought on that is it's going to be a late night on tuesday. ohio is going down to the wire just like the rest of the country. on the decision desk we w
50/50, and the real exists on the margin. and i think obama has an edge in the polls in ohio. >> are you seeing any polls in the last 24 hours which suggest that the hurricane as a disaster, has had any impact yet? >> it's too early to say. a number of the more reputable pollsters suspended their polling. right now, i think we shouldn't make too much of noise. a lot of people are out of power, could have helpful effects, you can't reach people in new york city, for example, democrats and they wouldn't appear in the polls as much. >> thank you very much. >> thank you. >>> up next, where the superstorm is heading next. a massive amount of snow in west virginia. a storm chaser joins us with the latest. actually, they might not even be that interesting to them. but this is for them and their future. and that's why it's important. okay, i'm going to take that as a "thank you, you rock!" who matters most to you says the most about you. massmutual has helped american businesses offer sound retirement plan solutions for generations. when the doctor told me that i could smoke for the
, romney spending time in ohio, and that's where this election comes down to. obama up by 2, 2 1/2, 3 points. in history, candidates overcome leads like that, it's pretty hard. a small lead, when you have so few undecided voters left, thard of the state already voted and turned out, it's challenging and that's romney's biggest hurdle, entirely ohio. >> have you been described as a potential one-term celebrity pollster. how did you react? you are a bit of a rising superstar. if you get it wrong, obama 75% chance of winning. if he were to lose now, will you resign? what happens to positivelister experts like you? >> this is where we give probabilities. a weather forecaster said hurricane sandy had a 30% chance of bad enough to warn the subway system. we give mitt romney a 30% chance of becoming president. 30% chance could come up quite a bit. some of the critics are not very good at doing math and probability, and in politics, people tend toward one side is always right, or everything is 50/50, and the real exists on the margin. and i think obama has an edge in the polls in ohio. >> are
to real people event, because, it just doesn't exist with this guy. the latest ohio poll shows romney trailing president obama badly on whether the candidate cares about the needs of people like you. president obama also leads on who is better at helping the middle class. president obama also leads romney by five points in ohio, in large part because romney's 47% problems just continue to haunt him. it is halloween, isn't it? let's bring in msnbc contributor, e.j. dionne, who is also a "washington post" columnist and author of the book, "our divided political heart." you know, this storm, as devastating as it is, e.j., it seems to have created some real problems for the romney campaign. it's almost as if you see them, and they are thing, and you can see them thinking out loud, oh, no, now what do we do? staging events. i mean, how low does it get? your thoughts? >> well, first of all, i would like to send my love out to my wife's family in rockaway queens, the neighborhood right on the ocean that got hammered. it's a great area and those folks are having a tough time right now. and i
Search Results 0 to 49 of about 141 (some duplicates have been removed)